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Red405
3489162.6
342B131.3
5190203.5
Blue132
1225123.7
281142.3
5327111.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38317006008001,000405132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.51.8
201.4199.6
Auto21.9
Teleop157.3
End24.8
red by 61.2
281
#9
142.30.6
142.7142.1
Auto17.0
Teleop110.0
End14.2
Second
162.60.1
153.9154.0
Auto17.1
Teleop119.4
End28.6
red by 38.9
1225
#12
123.71.5
129.5128.1
Auto16.7
Teleop90.6
End12.9
Third
131.33.0
110.5113.4
Auto9.7
Teleop111.5
End10.6
red by 20.1
111.20.3
109.5109.7
Auto15.5
Teleop90.3
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed