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Red173
3489B102.0
2815128.6
4083117.9
Blue441
4795171.2
3489162.6
1225123.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1863920100300500600700800173441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2815
#16
128.61.1
136.4135.3
Auto16.4
Teleop95.6
End8.9
blue by 42.6
171.20.6
171.8171.2
Auto21.0
Teleop131.9
End15.8
Second
4083
#17
117.90.5
119.3118.8
Auto14.3
Teleop86.5
End17.5
blue by 44.7
162.60.5
154.8155.3
Auto17.1
Teleop119.4
End28.6
Third
102.01.6
99.9101.5
Auto11.0
Teleop86.3
End3.4
blue by 21.7
1225
#12
123.71.1
126.7125.5
Auto16.7
Teleop90.6
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsEarned