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Red77
3489B102.0
4795B100.4
3489162.6
Blue387
5190203.5
342178.6
4795171.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132449010020030040050060077387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.62.0
156.5158.5
Auto17.1
Teleop119.4
End28.6
blue by 40.9
203.50.8
199.3200.0
Auto21.9
Teleop157.3
End24.8
Second
102.00.5
101.5102.0
Auto11.0
Teleop86.3
End3.4
blue by 76.6
342
#4
178.61.0
174.7175.8
Auto18.2
Teleop140.9
End17.6
Third
100.40.0
104.2104.2
Auto13.9
Teleop81.8
End4.8
blue by 70.8
171.20.4
171.5171.2
Auto21.0
Teleop131.9
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
44%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed