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Red361
694089.9
6827134.6
5823152.5
Blue42
7002107.4
639995.6
6991117.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2702595010015020030035036142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.51.9
137.8139.7
Auto22.7
Teleop116.7
End13.0
red by 34.7
6991
#28
117.752.4
130.177.7
Auto15.4
Teleop93.3
End8.0
Second
6827
#11
134.656.9
134.677.7
Auto18.9
Teleop102.0
End13.1
red by 27.2
7002
#27
107.429.7
107.477.7
Auto14.8
Teleop86.1
End11.1
Third
6940
#22
89.90.6
93.292.6
Auto13.5
Teleop71.4
End6.5
blue by 5.7
6399
#38
95.618.0
56.774.7
Auto13.5
Teleop78.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed