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Qual 312018 Shanghai Regional
Red423
5515122.6
6394141.3
5453170.5
Blue223
7002107.4
6487114.6
530891.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3561510100200300400500600423223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5453
#23
170.50.6
164.9→165.5
Auto18.3
Teleop134.4
End19.9
red by 55.9
6487
#19
114.62.2
97.5→99.7
Auto14.8
Teleop90.0
End13.9
Second
6394
#4
141.36.5
102.1→108.6
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
red by 33.9
7002
#27
107.44.6
94.5→99.1
Auto14.8
Teleop86.1
End11.1
Third
5515
#20
122.62.4
111.8→114.2
Auto16.4
Teleop95.7
End9.5
red by 31.5
5308
#43
91.11.3
93.8→95.0
Auto12.9
Teleop73.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed