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Qual 382018 Shanghai Regional
Red197
724290.8
5453170.5
7002107.4
Blue343
7146101.9
6991117.7
6803163.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317231100200400197343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5453
#23
170.51.6
165.5→167.1
Auto18.3
Teleop134.4
End19.9
red by 6.7
6803
#3
163.87.2
113.9→121.1
Auto21.5
Teleop120.9
End25.3
Second
7002
#27
107.45.1
99.1→104.2
Auto14.8
Teleop86.1
End11.1
blue by 10.3
6991
#28
117.71.0
106.0→107.0
Auto15.4
Teleop93.3
End8.0
Third
7242
#39
90.80.2
101.7→101.6
Auto13.6
Teleop70.5
End4.6
blue by 11.1
7146
#33
101.90.4
97.6→97.2
Auto13.7
Teleop77.0
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed