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Qual 532018 Shanghai Regional
Red170
6827134.6
7146101.9
6818103.7
Blue290
7047123.8
6362100.3
6487114.6
61%Model gave it39%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286259100200400500170290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6827
#11
134.66.0
126.2→132.2
Auto18.9
Teleop102.0
End13.1
red by 10.8
7047
#7
123.82.1
116.9→119.0
Auto19.6
Teleop101.7
End2.8
Second
6818
#37
103.72.9
101.4→104.3
Auto14.8
Teleop83.8
End1.8
blue by 10.9
6487
#19
114.62.9
104.9→107.8
Auto14.8
Teleop90.0
End13.9
Third
7146
#33
101.94.3
98.7→103.0
Auto13.7
Teleop77.0
End11.6
red by 1.6
6362
#30
100.30.3
100.4→100.7
Auto14.9
Teleop81.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed