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Qual 662018 Shanghai Regional
Red233
5451124.8
6970126.5
6487114.6
Blue201
6941127.4
643393.4
5823152.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297271100200400500600233201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6970
#14
126.54.7
116.8→121.5
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End10.3
blue by 26.0
5823
#5
152.51.3
149.1→150.4
Auto22.7
Teleop116.7
End13.0
Second
5451
#8
124.83.8
116.6→120.4
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1
blue by 2.6
6941
#17
127.42.1
121.9→124.0
Auto17.5
Teleop98.2
End13.1
Third
6487
#19
114.62.5
107.8→110.3
Auto14.8
Teleop90.0
End13.9
red by 21.2
6433
#29
93.40.2
94.6→94.4
Auto15.7
Teleop73.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed