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Qual 732018 Shanghai Regional
Red340
6803163.8
7047123.8
694089.9
Blue142
6970126.5
6361121.0
649499.3
74%Model gave it26%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301257150200350400450340142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6803
#3
163.87.4
143.3→150.7
Auto21.5
Teleop120.9
End25.3
red by 37.3
6970
#14
126.52.1
121.5→123.6
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End10.3
Second
7047
#7
123.81.5
121.0→122.5
Auto19.6
Teleop101.7
End2.8
red by 2.8
6361
#9
121.00.5
120.5→121.0
Auto17.1
Teleop90.6
End12.8
Third
6940
#22
89.90.2
90.1→89.9
Auto13.5
Teleop71.4
End6.5
blue by 9.4
6494
#34
99.30.4
98.8→99.3
Auto14.9
Teleop78.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed