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Red454
2869142.9
2056255.0
1241232.9
Blue292
2590238.0
2614203.9
708171.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4253790200600800454292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
255.00.0
255.0255.0
Auto27.9
Teleop182.0
End45.1
red by 17.0
2590
#12
238.00.0
238.1238.1
Auto23.7
Teleop170.6
End40.5
Second
232.90.2
232.4232.7
Auto23.4
Teleop174.2
End35.0
red by 29.0
203.90.4
203.1203.6
Auto26.9
Teleop150.8
End24.8
Third
2869
#25
142.90.2
142.5142.7
Auto20.9
Teleop106.8
End14.4
blue by 28.7
708
#31
171.60.3
171.1171.4
Auto19.9
Teleop125.6
End25.5