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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Tesla Division
Red345
238189.1
319220.7
340210.3
Blue505
3546180.4
2474178.6
2168189.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions451294100200400500600700345505

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#16
220.70.0
220.9→220.9
Auto22.9
Teleop160.7
End36.6
red by 31.2
2168
#20
189.50.1
189.5→189.5
Auto21.3
Teleop151.6
End13.0
Second
340
#5
210.30.4
209.0→209.4
Auto23.6
Teleop157.3
End28.3
red by 29.8
3546
#6
180.40.3
179.8→180.1
Auto22.4
Teleop137.0
End21.8
Third
238
#47
189.10.2
190.1→189.9
Auto17.4
Teleop150.5
End19.3
red by 10.5
2474
#39
178.60.2
178.8→178.7
Auto23.0
Teleop140.1
End16.0