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Quarterfinal 2-32018 Tesla Division
Red325
238189.1
319220.7
340210.3
Blue322
3546180.4
2474178.6
2168189.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4453010100200400500600700800325322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#16
220.70.0
220.9→220.9
Auto22.9
Teleop160.7
End36.6
red by 31.2
2168
#20
189.50.0
189.5→189.5
Auto21.3
Teleop151.6
End13.0
Second
340
#5
210.30.3
209.4→209.8
Auto23.6
Teleop157.3
End28.3
red by 29.8
3546
#6
180.40.3
180.1→180.4
Auto22.4
Teleop137.0
End21.8
Third
238
#47
189.10.2
189.9→189.7
Auto17.4
Teleop150.5
End19.3
red by 10.5
2474
#39
178.60.1
178.7→178.6
Auto23.0
Teleop140.1
End16.0