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Red286
3546180.4
597167.3
2869142.9
Blue455
6090195.9
3098194.0
4680132.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32439602006008001,0001,2001,4001,600286455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.40.4
172.9173.3
Auto22.4
Teleop137.0
End21.8
blue by 15.5
6090
#22
195.91.2
199.8198.6
Auto22.9
Teleop143.0
End30.9
Second
597
#19
167.30.9
161.9162.8
Auto23.2
Teleop123.6
End21.6
blue by 26.7
194.00.5
187.1186.5
Auto20.5
Teleop143.3
End29.2
Third
2869
#25
142.91.3
137.4138.6
Auto20.9
Teleop106.8
End14.4
red by 10.4
4680
#60
132.40.7
134.2133.5
Auto16.8
Teleop97.6
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsEarned