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Red200
2474178.6
527160.5
321138.3
Blue379
708171.6
573148.0
6618177.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3903470100200300500600700200379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2474
#39
178.60.4
184.5184.2
Auto23.0
Teleop140.1
End16.0
red by 1.6
6618
#36
177.00.4
172.7173.1
Auto19.3
Teleop131.8
End24.0
Second
527
#55
160.51.2
166.5167.7
Auto20.1
Teleop121.2
End17.5
blue by 11.1
708
#31
171.60.9
165.5166.4
Auto19.9
Teleop125.6
End25.5
Third
321
#59
138.30.4
142.4142.7
Auto19.2
Teleop101.8
End12.9
blue by 9.8
573
#44
148.02.0
158.4156.4
Auto18.8
Teleop110.4
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed