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Red298
5675171.2
3197168.7
6574129.3
Blue282
2590238.0
321138.3
7068112.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341367100200300400500600298282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5675
#21
171.20.9
176.5175.6
Auto23.0
Teleop123.1
End25.6
blue by 66.8
2590
#12
238.00.7
245.4244.7
Auto23.7
Teleop170.6
End40.5
Second
3197
#50
168.70.9
169.9170.7
Auto20.9
Teleop124.0
End24.5
red by 30.4
321
#59
138.30.0
142.0142.0
Auto19.2
Teleop101.8
End12.9
Third
6574
#48
129.30.6
129.8129.2
Auto16.5
Teleop97.8
End14.1
red by 16.5
7068
#67
112.80.8
115.1114.3
Auto13.2
Teleop90.1
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed73%Face the Boss oddsMissed