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Qual 322018 Tesla Division
Red359
7226121.8
1506186.6
2614203.9
Blue336
2474178.6
5114167.7
6077176.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3373740100200300500600700359336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#4
203.90.3
193.5→193.8
Auto26.9
Teleop150.8
End24.8
red by 25.3
2474
#39
178.61.0
182.7→181.7
Auto23.0
Teleop140.1
End16.0
Second
1506
#33
186.60.0
187.5→187.5
Auto21.9
Teleop141.6
End23.6
red by 10.2
6077
#23
176.31.8
167.1→168.9
Auto19.7
Teleop133.4
End22.5
Third
7226
#24
121.81.1
113.3→114.4
Auto16.0
Teleop81.7
End25.9
blue by 45.8
5114
#18
167.70.8
169.7→168.9
Auto19.5
Teleop122.7
End26.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed24%Face the Boss oddsMissed