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Qual 502018 Tesla Division
Red210
5114167.7
6911119.6
5528163.0
Blue371
1241232.9
3641196.2
4391179.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424750100200300400600700210371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#18
167.70.5
168.2→167.7
Auto19.5
Teleop122.7
End26.3
blue by 65.2
1241
#2
232.90.7
233.8→233.1
Auto23.4
Teleop174.2
End35.0
Second
5528
#29DQ
163.00.2
164.3→164.4
Auto23.0
Teleop119.1
End22.1
blue by 33.2
3641
#3
196.21.3
190.5→191.8
Auto21.4
Teleop152.2
End24.4
Third
6911
#57
119.60.3
120.4→120.6
Auto18.5
Teleop90.0
End8.0
blue by 60.3
4391
#65
179.90.6
190.5→190.0
Auto27.2
Teleop131.8
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsMissed79%Face the Boss oddsMissed