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Qual 522018 Tesla Division
Red271
319220.7
3667152.4
321138.3
Blue413
1073162.5
1360197.6
2168189.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307413100200500600700800271413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#16
220.70.4
219.6→220.0
Auto22.9
Teleop160.7
End36.6
red by 23.1
1360
#52
197.61.5
204.6→203.0
Auto24.7
Teleop147.9
End22.6
Second
3667
#11
152.40.5
146.1→146.6
Auto18.7
Teleop121.3
End11.8
blue by 37.1
2168
#20
189.51.1
184.3→185.5
Auto21.3
Teleop151.6
End13.0
Third
321
#59
138.30.5
141.4→140.9
Auto19.2
Teleop101.8
End12.9
blue by 24.3
1073
#41
162.51.3
164.8→166.2
Auto20.8
Teleop127.7
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed