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Red249
527160.5
743105.0
1729156.4
Blue364
3623169.1
597167.3
5675171.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2604320100200300400500600700249364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#55
160.51.0
165.6164.7
Auto20.1
Teleop121.2
End17.5
blue by 10.7
5675
#21
171.20.8
174.6173.7
Auto23.0
Teleop123.1
End25.6
Second
1729
#38
156.41.8
161.3159.5
Auto19.0
Teleop117.8
End16.8
blue by 12.7
3623
#35
169.10.8
167.9168.7
Auto20.7
Teleop125.2
End23.4
Third
743
#62
105.00.2
102.9102.8
Auto12.7
Teleop83.7
End11.8
blue by 62.4
597
#19
167.31.1
163.8164.9
Auto23.2
Teleop123.6
End21.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed22%Face the Boss oddsMissed