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Red412
3770168.7
3546180.4
2609162.6
Blue235
1310152.4
4939136.3
238189.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3313780100200500600700412235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.40.4
173.3172.9
Auto22.4
Teleop137.0
End21.8
blue by 8.7
238
#47
189.11.3
206.5205.2
Auto17.4
Teleop150.5
End19.3
Second
3770
#17
168.70.3
167.5167.2
Auto19.3
Teleop126.6
End23.7
red by 16.3
1310
#51
152.40.9
149.6150.6
Auto22.4
Teleop115.4
End14.8
Third
2609
#40
162.60.3
163.2163.5
Auto23.5
Teleop122.6
End11.6
red by 26.3
4939
#63
136.30.4
138.5138.9
Auto17.3
Teleop101.9
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed