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Red317
238189.1
7068112.8
3197168.7
Blue389
597167.3
4531161.2
4678192.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317387100200500600317389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#47
189.11.7
198.8197.1
Auto17.4
Teleop150.5
End19.3
blue by 3.7
4678
#27
192.80.9
190.2191.2
Auto24.8
Teleop151.1
End14.6
Second
3197
#50
168.70.2
171.0171.1
Auto20.9
Teleop124.0
End24.5
red by 1.3
597
#19
167.30.5
164.9165.4
Auto23.2
Teleop123.6
End21.6
Third
7068
#67
112.80.5
112.9112.4
Auto13.2
Teleop90.1
End9.2
blue by 48.3
4531
#46
161.20.4
156.3156.7
Auto19.3
Teleop114.8
End28.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsMissed