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Qual 672018 Tesla Division
Red410
2609162.6
2168189.5
340210.3
Blue213
5567177.4
3623169.1
1720146.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions430305100200500600700800410213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#5
210.30.6
204.9→205.5
Auto23.6
Teleop157.3
End28.3
red by 32.9
5567
#14
177.40.6
177.8→178.4
Auto22.0
Teleop126.3
End27.9
Second
2168
#20
189.51.1
185.5→186.5
Auto21.3
Teleop151.6
End13.0
red by 20.4
3623
#35
169.10.3
168.7→168.9
Auto20.7
Teleop125.2
End23.4
Third
2609
#40
162.60.1
162.7→162.6
Auto23.5
Teleop122.6
End11.6
red by 16.1
1720
#43
146.50.5
147.6→148.1
Auto18.8
Teleop103.6
End24.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
99%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed46%Face the Boss oddsEarned