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Red418
2474178.6
1792162.1
85212.5
Blue292
3258157.4
3038145.6
6077176.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420291100200500600700418292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#26
212.50.0
213.6213.6
Auto23.3
Teleop161.0
End30.2
red by 36.2
6077
#23
176.30.6
174.3175.0
Auto19.7
Teleop133.4
End22.5
Second
2474
#39
178.60.1
179.5179.4
Auto23.0
Teleop140.1
End16.0
red by 21.2
3258
#66
157.40.4
158.0157.7
Auto16.6
Teleop117.1
End23.9
Third
1792
#28
162.10.4
160.3160.7
Auto22.4
Teleop122.9
End19.4
red by 16.5
3038
#49
145.60.5
143.8144.2
Auto16.9
Teleop112.5
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
99%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed