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Red327
4531161.2
3258157.4
5980154.0
Blue370
2169134.3
6090195.9
1310152.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3303810100200300500600327370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4531
#46
161.21.6
157.8159.5
Auto19.3
Teleop114.8
End28.6
blue by 34.8
6090
#22
195.90.7
198.0197.4
Auto22.9
Teleop143.0
End30.9
Second
3258
#66
157.40.3
157.7157.3
Auto16.6
Teleop117.1
End23.9
red by 5.0
1310
#51
152.40.0
152.8152.8
Auto22.4
Teleop115.4
End14.8
Third
5980
#37
154.01.9
157.0155.1
Auto24.4
Teleop111.0
End19.2
red by 19.8
2169
#54
134.31.0
136.8135.8
Auto15.8
Teleop105.5
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsEarned12%Face the Boss oddsMissed