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Qual 962018 Tesla Division
Red400
2614203.9
3546180.4
573148.0
Blue313
5528163.0
4039171.2
3623169.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371359250300400450500400313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#4
203.91.2
198.3→199.5
Auto26.9
Teleop150.8
End24.8
red by 32.7
4039
#53
171.21.9
174.4→172.6
Auto25.4
Teleop133.1
End8.9
Second
3546
#6
180.40.7
178.0→178.7
Auto22.4
Teleop137.0
End21.8
red by 11.3
3623
#35
169.10.4
168.3→168.7
Auto20.7
Teleop125.2
End23.4
Third
573
#44
148.00.8
149.2→148.4
Auto18.8
Teleop110.4
End19.8
blue by 15.0
5528
#29
163.00.6
164.1→163.5
Auto23.0
Teleop119.1
End22.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed