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Red429
744166.5
3140153.6
108104.5
Blue296
3490132.6
5508142.2
2638147.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320332100200400500429296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#13
166.50.2
166.7166.5
Auto22.6
Teleop128.2
End17.1
red by 19.5
2638
#21
147.00.7
145.7146.4
Auto20.0
Teleop109.6
End20.3
Second
153.60.1
152.7152.8
Auto18.5
Teleop125.2
End12.2
red by 11.4
142.20.5
141.3141.8
Auto21.5
Teleop105.9
End16.8
Third
108
#32
104.50.5
102.3102.8
Auto14.7
Teleop88.1
End4.8
blue by 28.1
132.60.1
132.5132.5
Auto18.5
Teleop99.0
End13.8