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Quarterfinal 3-22018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red425
3959179.1
3489153.6
1466151.3
Blue161
2393130.7
6517139.3
343148.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3752710100200300500600425161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
#7
179.10.3
177.5→177.8
Auto22.9
Teleop142.0
End13.8
red by 31.0
343
#16
148.10.1
148.3→148.2
Auto21.3
Teleop117.8
End7.3
Second
3489
#2
153.60.1
153.7→153.6
Auto20.6
Teleop109.4
End20.8
red by 14.3
6517
#10
139.30.6
138.3→138.8
Auto18.7
Teleop108.1
End12.6
Third
1466
#14
151.30.2
150.2→150.4
Auto20.4
Teleop113.6
End16.4
red by 20.6
2393
#30
130.70.3
130.2→130.5
Auto17.8
Teleop96.5
End14.9