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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red439
3824179.0
5492143.7
4504107.9
Blue187
4576121.8
4264138.8
4013127.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376279100200500600439187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#12
179.00.1
178.4→178.5
Auto24.0
Teleop140.2
End15.1
red by 40.2
4264
#9
138.80.3
138.2→138.5
Auto18.5
Teleop106.9
End15.3
Second
5492
#3
143.70.9
140.1→141.1
Auto14.6
Teleop103.8
End30.2
red by 16.7
4013
#31
127.10.0
127.1→127.1
Auto18.9
Teleop94.5
End14.0
Third
4504
#33
107.90.3
106.6→106.9
Auto14.6
Teleop81.3
End13.2
blue by 13.9
4576
#43
121.80.2
121.4→121.6
Auto15.9
Teleop94.8
End12.8