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Red314
5744101.5
283141.3
2638147.0
Blue156
6517139.3
476495.6
6219105.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3092470100200400500314156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#21
147.014.3
89.6104.0
Auto20.0
Teleop109.6
End20.3
red by 7.7
6517
#10
139.315.4
79.895.2
Auto18.7
Teleop108.1
End12.6
Second
283
#25
141.32.4
128.7131.1
Auto15.7
Teleop99.8
End23.1
red by 35.6
6219
#45
105.615.6
78.694.1
Auto17.3
Teleop81.7
End4.2
Third
5744
#50
101.517.4
62.379.6
Auto15.2
Teleop76.3
End12.1
red by 5.9
4764
#41
95.61.8
103.2101.4
Auto15.2
Teleop75.3
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed