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Qual 192018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red239
53894.2
4265154.1
1293127.0
Blue421
6517139.3
5508142.2
2614182.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2043720100300500600239421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#8
154.12.2
130.1→132.3
Auto19.8
Teleop118.5
End16.0
blue by 28.8
2614
#1
182.92.8
172.1→174.9
Auto28.4
Teleop128.0
End26.4
Second
1293
#37
127.06.5
90.1→96.5
Auto16.4
Teleop101.3
End12.0
blue by 15.2
5508
#5
142.27.2
107.9→115.1
Auto21.5
Teleop105.9
End16.8
Third
538
#44Sur
94.21.7
103.1→101.4
Auto13.9
Teleop70.8
End7.5
blue by 45.1
6517
#10Sur
139.35.2
104.3→109.5
Auto18.7
Teleop108.1
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed