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Qual 312018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red76
5022119.3
4013127.1
53894.2
Blue365
3959179.1
4083120.6
3489153.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192422010030050060076365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4013
#31
127.11.4
121.5→122.9
Auto18.9
Teleop94.5
End14.0
blue by 52.0
3959
#7
179.10.5
177.2→176.7
Auto22.9
Teleop142.0
End13.8
Second
5022
#35
119.30.6
116.3→116.9
Auto16.5
Teleop91.0
End11.2
blue by 34.3
3489
#2
153.60.9
147.4→148.3
Auto20.6
Teleop109.4
End20.8
Third
538
#44
94.20.7
101.4→100.6
Auto13.9
Teleop70.8
End7.5
blue by 26.5
4083
#20
120.61.4
115.2→116.6
Auto15.7
Teleop89.2
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed