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Red315
283141.3
4630133.1
4284114.5
Blue302
6302123.8
108104.5
4576121.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309274100200400500600315302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
283
#25
141.30.8
137.6138.4
Auto15.7
Teleop99.8
End23.1
red by 17.5
6302
#23
123.81.8
121.2123.0
Auto17.0
Teleop93.9
End12.6
Second
4630
#22
133.15.2
121.8127.0
Auto18.6
Teleop99.0
End15.5
red by 11.3
4576
#43
121.80.9
117.6118.4
Auto15.9
Teleop94.8
End12.8
Third
4284
#19
114.50.6
106.9107.5
Auto14.3
Teleop87.1
End15.4
red by 10.1
108
#32
104.51.2
95.496.6
Auto14.7
Teleop88.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed