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Red326
744166.5
6219105.6
4013127.1
Blue75
476495.6
6302123.8
2856124.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32926510020030040050032675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#13
166.52.5
160.5163.0
Auto22.6
Teleop128.2
End17.1
red by 42.1
2856
#46
124.42.0
123.3125.3
Auto13.8
Teleop92.9
End18.0
Second
4013
#31
127.11.2
124.0125.2
Auto18.9
Teleop94.5
End14.0
red by 3.3
6302
#23
123.82.9
123.0125.9
Auto17.0
Teleop93.9
End12.6
Third
6219
#45
105.61.8
106.7104.9
Auto17.3
Teleop81.7
End4.2
red by 10.0
4764
#41
95.60.1
96.396.2
Auto15.2
Teleop75.3
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed