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Red379
4630133.1
3140153.6
144146.2
Blue190
3821113.0
6928122.7
5508142.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3682740100200300400500379190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.61.4
148.5149.9
Auto18.5
Teleop125.2
End12.2
red by 11.4
142.22.8
134.0136.9
Auto21.5
Teleop105.9
End16.8
Second
144
#34
146.20.8
148.2147.4
Auto19.3
Teleop109.8
End18.7
red by 23.5
6928
#26
122.74.5
114.9119.4
Auto17.0
Teleop93.2
End11.6
Third
4630
#22
133.15.0
127.0132.0
Auto18.6
Teleop99.0
End15.5
red by 20.1
3821
#40
113.01.7
112.5114.2
Auto16.3
Teleop80.2
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed