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Qual 562018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red446
4504107.9
3489153.6
5492143.7
Blue195
4576121.8
1293127.0
5186104.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318294150200250350400450500446195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#2
153.60.4
149.5→149.9
Auto20.6
Teleop109.4
End20.8
red by 26.7
1293
#37
127.06.0
113.1→119.1
Auto16.4
Teleop101.3
End12.0
Second
5492
#3
143.70.9
132.1→132.9
Auto14.6
Teleop103.8
End30.2
red by 21.9
4576
#43
121.81.3
118.4→119.7
Auto15.9
Teleop94.8
End12.8
Third
4504
#33
107.91.6
98.7→100.3
Auto14.6
Teleop81.3
End13.2
red by 3.5
5186
#38
104.44.6
100.4→105.1
Auto15.2
Teleop82.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed