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Red374
1466151.3
4576121.8
2973132.5
Blue149
3966129.3
3984106.9
5022119.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338286100200400500374149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#14
151.30.5
148.3148.8
Auto20.4
Teleop113.6
End16.4
red by 22.0
3966
#11
129.32.0
125.4127.4
Auto18.6
Teleop101.2
End9.9
Second
2973
#15
132.50.8
130.1130.9
Auto19.5
Teleop96.3
End14.3
red by 13.2
5022
#35
119.30.8
118.5119.2
Auto16.5
Teleop91.0
End11.2
Third
4576
#43
121.80.3
119.7120.0
Auto15.9
Teleop94.8
End12.8
red by 14.9
3984
#49
106.90.6
110.4111.0
Auto14.8
Teleop80.4
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed