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Qual 682018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red247
3959179.1
4013127.1
1466151.3
Blue295
2614182.9
1038142.8
3140153.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321365100200400500600247295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
#7
179.11.4
175.3→176.7
Auto22.9
Teleop142.0
End13.8
blue by 3.8
2614
#1
182.90.8
180.7→181.6
Auto28.4
Teleop128.0
End26.4
Second
1466
#14
151.31.0
148.8→149.8
Auto20.4
Teleop113.6
End16.4
blue by 2.2
3140
#4
153.61.0
150.9→151.9
Auto18.5
Teleop125.2
End12.2
Third
4013
#31
127.10.7
126.4→127.1
Auto18.9
Teleop94.5
End14.0
blue by 15.7
1038
#24
142.80.2
142.7→142.9
Auto17.6
Teleop109.6
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed