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Red265
4013127.1
3824179.0
1293127.0
Blue171
343148.1
5002113.1
4264138.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313290150200250350400450265171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#12
179.03.2
173.4176.6
Auto24.0
Teleop140.2
End15.1
red by 30.9
343
#16
148.12.2
143.1145.3
Auto21.3
Teleop117.8
End7.3
Second
4013
#31
127.10.5
119.9120.4
Auto18.9
Teleop94.5
End14.0
blue by 11.7
138.815.2
81.696.8
Auto18.5
Teleop106.9
End15.3
Third
1293
#37
127.017.4
62.279.6
Auto16.4
Teleop101.3
End12.0
red by 13.8
5002
#47
113.11.9
110.2112.1
Auto16.2
Teleop82.0
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed