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Red259
4576121.8
2190133.5
6928122.7
Blue389
2638147.0
4265154.1
5005107.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281366100200400500600259389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2190
#17
133.53.2
128.2131.4
Auto15.6
Teleop96.1
End26.2
blue by 20.7
154.12.8
145.8148.6
Auto19.8
Teleop118.5
End16.0
Second
6928
#26
122.70.8
121.4122.2
Auto17.0
Teleop93.2
End11.6
blue by 24.3
2638
#21
147.02.4
141.4143.8
Auto20.0
Teleop109.6
End20.3
Third
4576
#43
121.80.8
120.0120.8
Auto15.9
Teleop94.8
End12.8
red by 14.1
5005
#27
107.70.1
107.5107.5
Auto17.2
Teleop80.7
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed