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Red365
2393130.7
6517139.3
53894.2
Blue246
6654107.8
4504107.9
2614182.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2853500100200400500600700365246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6517
#10
139.32.3
133.2135.5
Auto18.7
Teleop108.1
End12.6
blue by 43.6
182.90.7
181.6182.2
Auto28.4
Teleop128.0
End26.4
Second
2393
#30
130.70.5
129.4129.9
Auto17.8
Teleop96.5
End14.9
red by 22.8
4504
#33
107.91.9
104.7106.6
Auto14.6
Teleop81.3
End13.2
Third
538
#44
94.20.5
94.894.3
Auto13.9
Teleop70.8
End7.5
blue by 13.7
6654
#36
107.82.3
105.5107.8
Auto16.5
Teleop83.7
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed