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Qual 842018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red350
5492143.7
3966129.3
53894.2
Blue319
4013127.1
4284114.5
6517139.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713260100200400500600700800350319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#3
143.73.0
137.1→140.1
Auto14.6
Teleop103.8
End30.2
red by 4.4
6517
#10
139.32.2
135.5→137.7
Auto18.7
Teleop108.1
End12.6
Second
3966
#11
129.30.0
129.2→129.2
Auto18.6
Teleop101.2
End9.9
red by 2.2
4013
#31
127.10.0
127.1→127.1
Auto18.9
Teleop94.5
End14.0
Third
538
#44
94.20.2
94.3→94.2
Auto13.9
Teleop70.8
End7.5
blue by 20.4
4284
#19
114.51.1
113.4→114.5
Auto14.3
Teleop87.1
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed