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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Istanbul Regional
Red356
7239116.0
6038129.7
6303101.0
Blue138
729195.9
7297104.3
7296106.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2902070100400500356138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.70.2
128.2128.4
Auto14.4
Teleop98.8
End19.1
red by 23.2
7296
#18
106.50.3
106.0106.3
Auto14.1
Teleop83.0
End5.7
Second
7239
#24
116.00.4
113.7114.1
Auto14.2
Teleop90.4
End12.7
red by 11.7
104.30.2
103.9104.1
Auto11.9
Teleop84.7
End7.6
Third
6303
#13
101.00.3
99.699.9
Auto13.6
Teleop81.9
End6.8
red by 5.1
7291
#26
95.90.0
95.995.9
Auto13.8
Teleop74.4
End8.3