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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Istanbul Regional
Red198
4191120.7
6415134.8
5655109.1
Blue247
2905111.7
7071107.0
6989119.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2921910100400500198247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6415
#5
134.80.2
133.8→134.1
Auto15.7
Teleop109.0
End8.3
red by 15.7
6989
#16
119.20.1
118.9→119.0
Auto15.9
Teleop89.8
End15.5
Second
4191
#7
120.70.4
119.0→119.4
Auto11.4
Teleop98.1
End11.9
red by 9.0
2905
#17
111.70.7
113.0→112.3
Auto11.9
Teleop88.1
End10.4
Third
5655
#28
109.10.3
110.5→110.2
Auto13.6
Teleop90.6
End4.0
red by 2.1
7071
#10
107.00.4
107.7→107.3
Auto14.6
Teleop88.3
End6.1