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Qual 12018 Istanbul Regional
Red83
683896.5
6436111.7
5665112.1
Blue326
7140150.5
7108116.4
7295110.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280248020040060080083326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5665
#30
112.116.2
72.6→88.8
Auto12.6
Teleop80.4
End22.0
blue by 38.4
7140
#4
150.573.4
151.1→77.7
Auto15.3
Teleop109.0
End28.5
Second
6436
#25
111.716.4
71.2→87.5
Auto14.9
Teleop89.0
End9.3
blue by 4.7
7108
#23
116.438.7
116.4→77.7
Auto13.5
Teleop89.8
End13.2
Third
6838
#22
96.526.2
103.9→77.7
Auto15.0
Teleop79.3
End2.7
blue by 14.0
7295
#21
110.632.8
110.6→77.7
Auto13.4
Teleop89.9
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed