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Qual 102018 Istanbul Regional
Red123
6303101.0
7297104.3
6014129.0
Blue411
6429180.0
7140150.5
623297.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2282870100400500600700800123411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6014
#8
129.012.0
73.0→85.0
Auto15.2
Teleop100.3
End14.7
blue by 51.0
6429
#1
180.013.2
91.3→104.5
Auto25.2
Teleop138.2
End15.2
Second
7297
#9
104.312.8
77.7→90.5
Auto11.9
Teleop84.7
End7.6
blue by 46.2
7140
#4
150.513.3
77.7→91.1
Auto15.3
Teleop109.0
End28.5
Third
6303
#13
101.08.2
77.7→86.0
Auto13.6
Teleop81.9
End6.8
red by 4.1
6232
#27
97.07.9
80.6→88.6
Auto13.5
Teleop72.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed