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Qual 312018 Istanbul Regional
Red292
6429180.0
729298.2
722895.3
Blue312
707095.4
6985150.2
6436111.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270256150200300350400292312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6429
#1
180.010.3
130.4→140.7
Auto25.2
Teleop138.2
End15.2
red by 29.8
6985
#3
150.28.0
106.7→114.7
Auto21.1
Teleop112.4
End17.4
Second
7292
#37
98.22.7
100.1→102.9
Auto12.8
Teleop78.2
End4.9
blue by 13.5
6436
#25
111.73.1
101.6→104.7
Auto14.9
Teleop89.0
End9.3
Third
7228
#36
95.32.7
92.1→89.4
Auto13.2
Teleop75.6
End9.8
blue by 0.1
7070
#11
95.40.6
97.4→98.0
Auto14.5
Teleop78.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed