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Red60
6064101.2
7298100.5
2905111.7
Blue451
6436111.7
7293126.0
6415134.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24326910015020030035040045060451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2905
#17
111.72.9
117.1119.9
Auto11.9
Teleop88.1
End10.4
blue by 23.1
134.82.8
119.7122.5
Auto15.7
Teleop109.0
End8.3
Second
6064
#29
101.21.2
111.5110.4
Auto15.6
Teleop80.4
End3.2
blue by 24.8
7293
#20
126.03.5
113.2116.7
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End17.5
Third
7298
#31
100.51.4
102.9104.3
Auto11.9
Teleop74.5
End14.0
blue by 11.2
6436
#25
111.73.6
104.7108.2
Auto14.9
Teleop89.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed