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Qual 42018 Istanbul Regional
Red115
7086122.5
7298100.5
722797.7
Blue225
6064101.2
7010112.7
6038129.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25127405001,0001,5002,000115225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7086
#12
122.544.8
122.5→77.7
Auto12.4
Teleop94.6
End17.1
blue by 7.2
6038
#6
129.716.4
71.0→87.4
Auto14.4
Teleop98.8
End19.1
Second
7298
#31
100.522.8
100.5→77.7
Auto11.9
Teleop74.5
End14.0
blue by 12.2
7010
#14
112.735.0
112.7→77.7
Auto12.6
Teleop84.4
End19.8
Third
7227
#35
97.720.0
97.7→77.7
Auto14.1
Teleop73.7
End5.4
blue by 3.5
6064
#29
101.217.0
65.7→82.7
Auto15.6
Teleop80.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed