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Red200
7239116.0
7140150.5
6989119.2
Blue234
6415134.8
729298.2
4191120.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316210100400500200234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.54.8
130.8135.6
Auto15.3
Teleop109.0
End28.5
red by 15.7
134.82.7
122.5125.2
Auto15.7
Teleop109.0
End8.3
Second
6989
#16
119.21.2
113.4114.6
Auto15.9
Teleop89.8
End15.5
blue by 1.5
120.72.1
107.3109.4
Auto11.4
Teleop98.1
End11.9
Third
7239
#24
116.00.8
108.5109.3
Auto14.2
Teleop90.4
End12.7
red by 17.7
7292
#37
98.22.6
107.4104.8
Auto12.8
Teleop78.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed