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Red361
5665112.1
6429180.0
5558100.5
Blue122
5655109.1
7010112.7
7293126.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2392810100200400500600361122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.04.6
156.2160.8
Auto25.2
Teleop138.2
End15.2
red by 54.0
7293
#20
126.02.9
116.7119.6
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End17.5
Second
5665
#30
112.10.2
104.1104.3
Auto12.6
Teleop80.4
End22.0
blue by 0.6
7010
#14
112.72.8
102.7105.5
Auto12.6
Teleop84.4
End19.8
Third
5558
#33
100.51.4
95.794.3
Auto11.8
Teleop77.5
End11.0
blue by 8.6
5655
#28
109.12.0
109.6111.7
Auto13.6
Teleop90.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed